Danger and Unreliability of Mammography
Breast Examination is a Safe, Effective, and Practical Alternative
by Samuel S. Epstein
, Rosalie Bertell, Ph.D., GNSH
and Barbara Seaman
Published in International Journal of Health Services, Volume 31, Number 3,
Pages 605-615, 2001
2001, Baywood Publishing Co., Inc.
Mammography screening is a profit-driven technology posing risks compounded by
unreliability. In striking contrast, annual clinical breast examination (CBE)
by a trained health professional, together with monthly breast self-examination
(BSE), is safe, at least as effective, and low in cost. International programs
for training nurses how to perform CBE and teach BSE are critical and overdue.
Contrary to popular belief and assurances by the U.S. media and the cancer
establishment--the National Cancer Institute (NCI) and American Cancer Society
(ACS)--mammography is not a technique for early diagnosis. In fact, a breast
cancer has usually been present for about eight years before it can finally be
detected. Furthermore, screening should be recognized as damage control, rather
than misleadingly as «secondary prevention.
DANGERS OF SCREENING MAMMOGRAPHY
Mammography poses a wide range of risks of which women worldwide still remain
uninformed.
Radiation Risks
Radiation from routine mammography poses significant cumulative risks of
initiating and promoting breast cancer (1-3). Contrary to conventional
assurances that radiation exposure from mammography is trivial--and similar to
that from a chest X-ray or spending one week in Denver, about 1/1,000 of a rad
(radiation-absorbed dose)--the routine practice of taking four films for each
breast results in some 1,000-fold greater exposure, 1 rad, focused on each
breast rather than the entire chest (2). Thus, premenopausal women undergoing
annual screening over a ten-year period are exposed to a total of about 10 rads
for each breast. As emphasized some three decades ago, the premenopausal breast
is highly sensitive to radiation, each rad of exposure increasing breast cancer
risk by 1 percent, resulting in a cumulative 10 percent increased risk over ten
years of premenopausal screening, usually from ages 40 to 50 (4); risks are
even greater for «baseline» screening at younger ages, for which
there is no evidence of any future relevance. Furthermore, breast cancer risks
from mammography are up to fourfold higher for the 1 to 2 percent of women who
are silent carriers of the A-T (ataxia-telangiectasia) gene and thus highly
sensitive to the carcinogenic effects of radiation (5); by some estimates this
accounts for up to 20 percent of all breast cancers annually in the United
States (6).
Cancer Risks from Breast Compression
As early as 1928, physicians were warned to handle «cancerous breasts with
care--for fear of accidentally disseminating cells» and spreading cancer
(7). Nevertheless, mammography entails tight and often painful compression of
the breast, particularly in premenopausal women. This may lead to distant and
lethal spread of malignant cells by rupturing small blood vessels in or around
small, as yet undetected breast cancers (8).
Delays in Diagnostic Mammography
As increasing numbers of premenopausal women are responding to the ACS's
aggressively promoted screening, imaging centers are becoming flooded and
overwhelmed. Resultingly, patients referred for diagnostic mammography are now
experiencing potentially dangerous delays, up to several months, before they
can be examined (9).
UNRELIABILITY OF MAMMOGRAPHY
Falsely Negative Mammograms
Missed cancers are particularly common in premenopausal women owing to the
dense and highly glandular structure of their breasts and increased
proliferation late in their menstrual cycle (10, 11). Missed cancers are also
common in post-menopausal women on estrogen replacement therapy, as about 20
percent develop breast densities that make their mammograms as difficult to
read as those of premenopausal women (12).
Interval Cancers
About one-third of all cancers--and more still of premenopausal cancers, which
are aggressive, even to the extent of doubling in size in one month, and more
likely to metastasize--are diagnosed in the interval between successive annual
mammograms (2, 13). Premenopausal women, particularly, can thus be lulled into
a false sense of security by a supposedly negative result on an annual
mammogram and fail to seek medical advice.
Falsely Positive Mammogram
Mistakenly diagnosed cancers are particularly common in premenopausal women,
and also in postmenopausal women on estrogen replacement therapy, resulting in
needless anxiety, more mammograms, and unnecessary biopsies (14, 15). For women
with multiple high-risk factors, including a strong family history, prolonged
use of the contraceptive pill, early menarche, and nulliparity--just those
groups that are most strongly urged to have annual mammograms--the cumulative
risk of false positives increases to «as high as 100 percent» over a
decade's screening (16).
Overdiagnosis
Overdiagnosis and subsequent overtreatment are among the major risks of
mammography. The widespread and virtually unchallenged acceptance of screening
has resulted in a dramatic increase in the diagnosis of ductal
carcinoma-in-situ (DCIS), a pre-invasive cancer, with a current estimated
incidence of about 40,000 annually. DCIS is usually recognized as
micro-calcifications and generally treated by lumpectomy plus radiation or even
mastectomy and chemotherapy (17). However, some 80 percent of all DCIS never
become invasive even if left untreated (18). Furthermore, the breast cancer
mortality from DCIS is the same-- about 1 percent--both for women diagnosed and
treated early and for those diagnosed later following the development of
invasive cancer (17). That early detection of DCIS does not reduce mortality is
further confirmed by the 13-year follow-up results of the Canadian National
Breast Cancer Screening Study (19). Nevertheless, as recently stressed,
«the public is much less informed about overdiagnosis than false positive
results. In a recent nationwide survey of women, 99 percent of respondents were
aware of the possibility of false positive results from mammography, but only 6
percent were aware of either DCIS by name or the fact that mammography could
detect a form of `cancer' that often doesn't progress» (20).
Quality Control
In 1992 Congress passed the National Mammography Standards Quality Assurance
Act requiring the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to ensure that screening
centers review their results and performance: collect data on biopsy outcomes
and match them with the original radiologist's interpretation of the films
(21). However, the centers do not release these data because the Act does not
require them to do so. It is essential that this information now be made fully
public so that concerns about the reliability of mammography can be further
evaluated. Activist breast cancer groups would most likely strongly support, if
not help to initiate, such overdue action by the FDA.
FAILURE TO REDUCE BREAST CANCER MORTALITY
Despite the long-standing claims, the evidence that routine mammography
screening allows early detection and treatment of breast cancer, thereby
reducing mortality, is at best highly questionable. In fact, «the
overwhelming majority of breast cancers are unaffected by early detection,
either because they are aggressive or slow growing» (21). There is
supportive evidence that the major variable predicting survival is
«biological determinism--a combination of the virulence of the individual
tumor plus the host's immune response,» rather than just early detection
(22).
Claims for the benefit of screening mammography in reducing breast cancer
mortality are based on eight international controlled trials involving about
500,000 women (23). However, recent meta-analysis of these trials revealed that
only two, based on 66,000 postmenopausal women, were adequately randomized to
allow statistically valid conclusions (23). Based on these two trials, the
authors concluded that «there is no reliable evidence that screening
decreases breast cancer mortality--not even a tendency towards an effect.»
Accordingly, the authors concluded that there is no longer any justification
for screening mammography; further evidence for this conclusion will be
detailed at the May 6, 2001, annual meeting of the National Breast Cancer
Coalition in Washington, D.C., and published in the July report of the Nordic
Cochrane Centre.
Even assuming that high quality screening of a population of women between the
ages of 50 and 69 would reduce breast cancer mortality by up to 25 percent,
yielding a reduced relative risk of 0.75, the chances of any individual woman
benefiting are remote (18). For women in this age group, about 4 percent are
likely to develop breast cancer annually, about one in four of whom, or 1
percent overall, will die from this disease. Thus, the 0.75 relative risk
applies to this 1 percent, so 99.75 percent of the women screened are unlikely
to benefit.
THE UNITED STATES VERSUS OTHER NATIONS
No nation other than the United States routinely screens premenopausal women by
mammography. In this context, it may be noted that the January 1997 National
Institutes of Health Consensus Conference recommended against premenopausal
screening (24), a decision that the NCI, but not the ACS, accepted (4).
However, under pressure from Congress and the ACS, the NCI reversed its
decision some three months later in favor of premenopausal screening. The U.S.
overkill extends to the standard practice of taking two or more mammograms per
breast annually in postmenopausal women. This contrasts with the more
restrained European practice of a single view every two to three years (4).
BREAST EXAMINATION IS A SAFE AND EFFECTIVE ALTERNATIVE TO MAMMOGRAPHY
That most breast cancers are first recognized by women themselves was admitted
in 1985 by the ACS, an aggressive advocate of routine mammography for all women
over the age of 40: «We must keep in mind the fact that at least 90
percent of the women who develop breast carcinoma discover the tumors
themselves» (25). Furthermore, as previously shown, «training
increases reported breast self-examination frequency, confidence, and the
number of small tumors found» (26).
A pooled analysis of several 1993 studies showed that women who regularly
performed BSE detected their cancers much earlier and with fewer positives
nodes and smaller tumors than women failing to examine themselves (27); BSE
would also enhance earlier detection of missed or interval cancers, especially
in pre-menopausal women (28). There is a strong consensus that the
effectiveness of BSE critically depends on careful training by skilled
professionals, and that confidence in BSE is enhanced with annual CBEs by an
experienced professional using structured individual training (29). The tactile
sensitivity of BSE can be increased by the use of Mammacare techniques to
enhance lump detection skills (30, 31), and by the use of FDA-approved and
nonprescription thin and pliable lubricant-filled sensor pads (32, 33).
In a joint U.S. and Chinese large-scale trial based on 520 Chinese factories,
women in half the factories were trained in and practiced BSE, while the other
group of women served as controls (34). The five-year follow up results
reported no reduction in breast cancer mortality in women in the BSE group.
However, these findings are of little, if any, significance in view of the
minimum of a 10- to 13-year period required before the efficacy of mammography
is claimed to occur in premenopausal women (24), especially as some of the
trial's participants were in their thirties (28).
The critical importance and reliability of CBE has been strikingly confirmed by
the recent Canadian National Breast Cancer Screening Study (19). This reported
the results of a unique individually randomized controlled trial on some 40,000
women, aged 50 to 59 on entry, followed by record linkage for nine to 13 years,
with active follow-up of cancer patients for an additional three years. Half
the women performed monthly BSE, following instruction by trained nurses, had
annual CBEs (taking approximately ten minutes) by trained nurses, and had
annual mammograms, while the other half practiced BSE and had annual CBEs but
no mammograms. It should be noted that the CBE performance by trained nurses
had been shown to be as good as, if not better than, that of the study surgeons
(35), a finding of particular interest in view of the growing perception among
women that professional women are more sensitive than men to women's health
issues (36). The results of this study provide clear evidence on the
reliability of CBE, in association with BSE (19): «In women age 50-59
years, the addition of annual mammography screening to physical examination has
no impact on breast cancer mortality.» In other words, the mammographic
detection of nonpalpable cancers failed to improve survival rates, as «the
majority of the small cancers detected by mammography represent pseudo-disease
or overdiagnosis» (37); confirmation of this explanation awaits a trial, a
protocol of which is available, comparing mammography alone with physical
examination alone. It should further be noted that the mammogram group had a
three-fold increase in the number of false positives compared with the CBE and
BSE group, resulting in unnecessary biopsies.
The effectiveness of CBE is further supported by the results of a new Japanese
mass screening study (38). Breast cancer mortality was compared in
municipalities with or without «high coverage» by CBE. The
age-adjusted breast cancer mortality between 1986-1990 and 1991-1995 was
reduced by over 40 percent in «high coverage» municipalities, in
contrast to only 3 percent in controls.
In spite of such evidence, the ACS and radiologists persist in their
dismissiveness of CBE and BSE, particularly as «a substitute for
screening practices that have a `proven' benefit such as mammograms» (33).
The NCI no longer prints a BSE guide in its breast cancer booklet, claiming
that «no studies have clearly shown a benefit of using BSE»;
similarly, the ACS no longer distributes information on BSE, such as
shower-hanger cards.
There are immediate needs for a large-scale crash program for training nurses
in how to perform annual CBE and how to teach BSE. This need is critical for
underinsured and uninsured low-socioeconomic and ethnic women in the United
States, and even more so for developing countries. Once well trained, women of
all social and cultural classes could perform monthly BSE, at no cost or risk
apart from false positives, which decrease with increasing practice, along with
annual CBE screening. Clinics offering CBE and training in BSE could be
established nationwide, and eventually worldwide, in a network of clinics,
community hospitals, churches, synagogues, and mosques. These clinics could
also act as a comprehensive source of reliable information on how to reduce the
risks of breast cancer, about which women still remain largely uninformed by
the cancer establishment (2). Besides lifestyle and reproductive risk factors,
emphasis should be directed to the massive overprescription of carcinogenic
hormonal drugs and the avoidable and involuntary exposures to petrochemical and
radionuclear carcinogens in the totality of the environment (39-41).
COSTS OF SCREENING
The dangers and unreliability of mammography screening are compounded by its
growing and inflationary costs; Medicare and insurance average costs are $70
and $125, respectively. Inadequate Medicare reimbursement rates are now
prompting fewer hospitals and clinics to offer mammograms, and deterring young
doctors from becoming radiologists. Accordingly, Senators Charles Schumer
(D-NY) and Tom Harkin (D-IA) are introducing legislation to raise Medicare
reimbursement to $100 (42).
If all U.S. premenopausal women, about 20 million according to the Census
Bureau, submitted to annual mammograms, minimal annual costs would be $2.5
billion (4). These costs would be increased to $10 billion, about 5 percent of
the $200 billion 2001 Medicare budget, if all postmenopausal women were also
screened annually, or about 14 percent of the estimated Medicare spending on
prescription drugs. Such costs will further increase some fourfold if the
industry, enthusiastically supported by radiologists, succeeds in its efforts
to replace film machines, costing about $100,000, with the latest high-tech
digital machines, approved by the FDA in November 2000, costing about $400,000.
Screening mammography thus poses major threats to the financially strained
Medicare system. Inflationary costs apart, there is no evidence of the greater
effectiveness of digital than film mammography (43), as confirmed by a study
reported at the November 2000 annual meeting of the Radiological Society of
North America (44). In fact, digital mammography is likely to result in the
increased diagnosis of DCIS.
The comparative cost of CBE and mammography in the 1992 Canadian Breast Cancer
Screening Study was reported to be 1 to 3 (45). However, this ratio ignores the
high costs of capital items including buildings, equipment, and mobile vans,
let alone the much greater hidden costs of unnecessary biopsies, specialized
staff training, and programs for quality control and professional accreditation
(46). This ratio could be even more favorable for CBE and BSE instruction if
both were conducted by trained nurses. The excessive costs of mammography
screening should be diverted away from industry to breast cancer prevention and
other women's health programs.
CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
The ACS has close connections to the mammography industry (39). Five
radiologists have served as ACS presidents, and in its every move, the ACS
promotes the interests of the major manufacturers of mammogram machines and
films, including Siemens, DuPont, General Electric, Eastman Kodak, and Piker.
The mammography industry also conducts research for the ACS and its grantees,
serves on advisory boards, and donates considerable funds. DuPont also: is a
substantial backer of the ACS Breast Health Awareness Program; sponsors
television shows and other media productions touting mammography; produces
advertising, promotional, and information literature for hospitals, clinics,
medical organizations, and doctors; produces educational films; and, of course,
lobbies Congress for legislation promoting availability of mammography
services. In virtually all its important actions, the ACS has been and remains
strongly linked with the mammography industry, while ignoring or attacking the
development of viable alternatives (39).
ACS promotion continues to lure women of all ages into mammography centers,
leading them to believe that mammography is their best hope against breast
cancer. A leading Massachusetts newspaper featured a photograph of two women in
their twenties in an ACS advertisement that promised early detection results in
a cure «nearly 100 percent of the time.» An ACS communications
director, questioned by journalist Kate Dempsey, admitted in an article
published by the Massachusetts Women's Community's journal Cancer,
«The ad isn't based on a study. When you make an advertisement, you
just say what you can to get women in the door. You exaggerate a point. . . .
Mammography today is a lucrative [and] highly competitive business» (39).
NEEDED REFORMS
Mammography is a striking paradigm of the capture of unsuspecting women by
runaway powerful technological and pharmaceutical global industries, with the
complicity of the cancer establishment, particularly the ACS, and the rollover
mainstream media. Promotion of the multibillion dollar mammography screening
industry has also become a diversionary flag around which legislators and
women's product corporations can rally, protesting how much they care about
women, while studiously avoiding any reference to avoidable risk factors of
breast cancer, let alone other cancers.
Screening mammography should be phased out in favor of annual CBE and monthly
BSE, as an effective, safe, and low-cost alternative, with diagnostic
mammography available when so indicated. Such action is all the more critical
and overdue in view of the still poorly recognized evidence that screening
mammography does not lead to decreased breast cancer mortality (18, 21, 23).
Networks of CBE and BSE clinics, staffed by trained nurses, should be
established internationally, including in developing nations. These low-cost
clinics would further empower women by providing them with scientific evidence
on breast cancer risk factors and prevention, information of particular
importance in view of the continued high incidence of breast cancers, with an
estimated 192,200 new U.S. cases predicted for 2001 (47), exceeding the number
for any previous years. The multibillion dollar U.S. insurance and Medicare
costs of mammography, besides those in other nations, should be diverted to
outreach and research on prevention of breast and other cancers and on other
women's health programs.
Acknowledgments -- The comments and advice of Dr. Cornelia Baines and
Maryann Napoli are gratefully acknowledged.
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Dr. Samuel S. Epstein
School of Public Health
University of Illinois of Chicago (M/C 922)
2121 West Taylor Street
Chicago, IL 60612-7260
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